Why you should care

Make no mistake, the pension crisis affects everyone in our state, even you! Let us show you:
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You're a family in Illinois

Your family's share of the state's retirement debt is $35,000.
Here's where we got the $35-thousand dollar figure:

  • Unfunded Pension Liability = $97 Billion
  • Unfunded Retiree Health Care Liability = $54 Billion
    (Recent contract negotiations with AFSCME will lower this amount as retirees will pay more toward their health care premiums, although the exact reduction has not yet been released.)
  • Pension Obligation Bond/Note Debt Outstanding = $16 Billion
Total retirement-related debt and unfunded obligations = $167 Billion / Number of Illinois households = 4.77 Million = Total retirement related debt and unfunded obligations per IL household = $35,000


DATA SOURCES:


That's a new car. Or a year's college costs. Or a year of mortgage payments.
Illinois has about $167 billion in retirement-related debt. Here's how it breaks down:
  • The state's pension funds are short $97 billion.
  • But there's also at least $54 billion in unfunded retiree health care costs for state employees.
  • AND - about $16 billion in pension borrowing since 2003 that we still have to pay off.

Who is responsible for paying this debt? The people of Illinois.

You're a student in Illinois

Your tuition payments are probably going up. But at least you're in school. When you graduate, your chances of landing a job may be a lot slimmer.

Companies do not relocate or expand in states with uncertain financial futures. In some cases, they leave.

The $167 billion in retirement-related debt and unfunded obligations – and the fact that we have not demonstrated the political will to address them – is the greatest obstacle to attracting businesses to our state and to growing the businesses we already have.

It’s a big reason there are fewer jobs available. National employment data shows that Illinois trails the nation in recovering from the “Great Recession.” Our state’s unemployment rate was 8.6% at the end of 2012 – well above the national average of 7.8%. Close Why is the pension crisis making it harder to find a job?

Because Illinois’ uncertain fiscal future is slowing down our state’s recovery from the Great Recession.

Source: “Illinois governor to bear grim news over pension crisis,” February 2013, Reuters,
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/05/us-usa-illinois-pensions-idUSBRE91416420130205

“Local Area Unemployment Statistics,” December 2012, Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm

“Economy at a Glance,” United States Monthly Data, March 1, 2013, Bureau of Labor Statistics
http://www.bls.gov/eag/eag.us.htm

Our neighboring states – Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri and Kentucky – all had lower unemployment rates. Illinois ranked 42nd out of the 50 states and the District of Columbia.

You're a business owner in Illinois

You have fiscal responsibilities and obligations. The state seems to have forgotten that it does too. It delays payments to vendors. It has borrowed billions to cover current costs. It has engaged in reckless fiscal behavior. If you did these things, you'd be out of business.

The combination of shrinking resources, rising taxes and massive debt has made Illinois one of the least attractive states to do business. Illinois ranks #48 out of 50 states.

How does the pension crisis affect business owners?

The pension crisis and ongoing budget deficits – and the fact that state officials won’t address them – are making Illinois unattractive to business.

“Illinois has dropped 40 places in five years, and is now in a death spiral … businesses are heading for the exits,” according to Chief Executive Magazine’s 2011 survey of the best and worst states for business.

Source: “Best/Worst States for Business,” Chief Executive Magazine, May 2011 and May 2012
http://chiefexecutive.net/best-worst-states-for-business
http://chiefexecutive.net/best-worst-states-for-business-2012

Illinois now has the lowest credit rating of any state.

Moody’s Investor Services lowered the state’s rating in January 2012, and S&P followed suit earlier this year. Low credit ratings mean the state pays more to borrow money. Both ratings agencies say they are troubled by Illinois’ failure to balance its budget and strengthen government pension systems, and have Illinois on Negative Watch for possible future downgrades.

Source: “Illinois credit rating lowered by Moody’s, again,” January 7, 2012, Associated Press, http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/71180.html
“S&P cuts Illinois credit rating to A-minus over pensions,” January 25, 2013, Reuters, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/01/25/usa-illinois-downgrade-idUSL1N0AUAY220130125
Our neighbor, Indiana, ranks #5, while Wisconsin and Iowa rank #20 and #22, respectively.

You're a taxpayer in Illinois

Get ready to dig deeper.
Why should taxpayers be worried? Because taxes have no place to go but up.

The state continues to run annual budget deficits – leading to a pile-up of unpaid bills. And those cash budget deficits don’t even take into account the inadequate annual funding of the state’s pension and retiree health care plans, which is one of the major causes of the state’s $167 billion in retirement-related debt and unfunded liabilities.

At some point, these unpaid bills and underfunded retirement programs will have to be addressed, and raising taxes yet again will be an obvious solution.

According to a recent report by the Civic Federation, a government watchdog organization, five-year budget projections show the state’s backlog of unpaid bills increasing from $7.8 billion to $21.7 billion by 2018. The Civic Federation’s five-year forecast incorporates known spending pressures in the areas of Medicaid, health care and pensions, while keeping other areas of spending flat, and takes into account future revenue expectations including the scheduled reduction in income tax rates beginning in FY2015.

Source: “State of Illinois Fiscal Year 2014 Budget Roadmap,” February 2013, Civic Federation, p. 47 http://www.civicfed.org/sites/default/files/Civic%20Federation__FY2014StateBudgetRoadmap.pdf

A 2012 report from the Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, the state agency responsible for reporting on the fiscal condition of the state’s five pension plans, forecasts that the unfunded liabilities of the plans will continue to increase as the state fails to adequately fund the annual costs of its pension plans.

Source: “A Report on the Financial Condition of the IL State Retirement Systems,” March 2012, Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, p. 95 http://www.ilga.gov/commission/cgfa2006/Upload/FinCondILStateRetirementSysFY%202011Mar2012.pdf

State law says the pension funds must be 90% funded by 2045. That's going to take more and more tax dollars each year. You'll have to pay. So will your children and grandchildren. Because the growing state tax burden is likely to become even bigger.

In January 2011, lllinois' massive debt was one argument used to justify raising personal income taxes by 67% and business taxes by 46%. Lawmakers promised the tax hike would expire in a few years. But that's very unlikely to happen.

The tax increase did not take care of the state's cash budget gap. In fact, our unpaid bills are growing. Meanwhile, unfunded pension costs are escalating so rapidly that there's no way this or any future tax increase can begin to solve the problem.

You're a teacher in Illinois

You've worked hard, and paid into your pension fund. But the fund doesn't have enough money to pay for the benefits you've earned. The Teachers' Retirement System was only 41% funded in fiscal year 2012.

There's not even enough money in the fund to pay all the benefits owed to current retirees. Where will the money come from to pay for your retirement? The numbers simply don't add up.

The numbers show why Illinois teachers should be very concerned.

As of June 30, 2012, the Teachers Retirement System fund had only $38 billion dollars in assets, which is only half of the assets needed to pay the benefits due to members who are already retired. (And these calculations are based on the smoothed value of assets; using the market value of assets makes the situation look even worse.)

TRS needs a total of $90 billion dollars to cover benefits for current retirees AND teachers working now – almost 2.5 times the actual level of assets in the fund.

Some have said that pension benefits aren't paid all at once, so we don't need to worry about the shortfall. But the calculation of pension assets and liabilities takes that into account. TRS really is billions short just for the benefits of current retirees, with nothing put aside for the already-earned benefits of current employees. The contributions that current employees are making today are basically going to cover the shortfall in funds for those who have already retired.

Source: Annual Financial Report Summary, December 2012, Teachers' Retirement System, pp. 2 and 4 http://trs.illinois.gov/subsections/pubs/summary/fy12.pdf

You're a state worker in Illinois

You've been paying into your pension. You've been doing your job. But your pension fund is in bad shape. Illinois has the worst-funded pension plans in the nation.

The pension crisis affects everyone in Illinois, but especially state workers who depend on it for a pension.

Source: “The Widening Gap Update,” June 2012, Pew Center on the States, http://www.pewstates.org/research/state-fact-sheets/illinois-widening-gap-update-85899399302

"November 2012 Monthly Briefing," Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, p. 3, http://www.ilga.gov/commission/cgfa2006/Upload/1112specialPensionBriefing.pdf

The highly respected Pew Center on the States says that Illinois' state retirement plans are last among all the states. Dead last.

The Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, the state agency responsible for reporting on the fiscal condition of the state’s five pension plans, reported that the five state pension plans were only 39% funded at the end of June 2012 using the market value of plan assets.

Right now, there's not enough money to pay for your retirement. NOT ENOUGH MONEY. Politicians promise to put in enough in the future to make up for the shortfall. How is that going to happen with our state's budget problems? If there's not enough money when you retire, you won't get the check you expected.

You provide a social service in Illinois, or depend on one

You're feeling the squeeze. Especially if you rely on state funding.

Annual pension contributions are consuming tax dollars*, and taking resources from critical public services such as schools, social service agencies and health care for the poor, elderly, and the disabled. Programs that improve our quality of life, such as parks and public safety initiatives, are facing cuts too.

Pension contributions must come from somewhere, and that somewhere is the budget for all other state programs.

SOURCE: Report of the State Budget Crisis Task Force, October 2012, p. 19-22
http://www.statebudgetcrisis.org/wpcms/wp-content/images/2012-10-12-Illinois-Report-Final-2.pdf

Analysis: “Pensions v. Schools,” Illinois Policy Institute, January 2012
http://illinoispolicy.org/news/article.asp?ArticleSource=4597

As the state falls further behind paying its bills, more and more non-profits are forced to reduce services, deplete reserves, or go out of business.

As services shrink, the need for those services continues to grow.

Please go back to the questions and select options that apply to you.